An Oncology Simulation Model to Estimate 10-Year Progression-Free Survival and Overall Survival Based on the 5-Year Update from the ECHELON-2 Trial in Frontline Patients with Peripheral T-Cell Lymphoma: A United States Perspective (ASH 2021)
Common frontline (1L) regimens include brentuximab vedotin plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, and prednisone (A+CHP), and cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone with or without the addition of etoposide (CHOP and CHOEP, respectively)...Additional model inputs were derived from: 1) ECHELON-2, with 5-year PFS rates of 51.4% (95% CI 42.8, 59.4) for A+CHP, 43.0% (95% CI 35.8, 50.0) for CHOP, and OS HR 0.72 (95% 0.53, 0.99); 2) published literature to inform PFS for consolidation and subsequent lines of therapy; and 3) expert clinicians’ opinion on commonly used regimens for relapsed/refractory PTCL (included in the model were brentuximab vedotin, romidepsin, pralatrexate, ifosfamide in combination with carboplatin and etoposide [ICE], and gemcitabine-based regimens)...Conclusions The durable and significant improvements in PFS and OS of A+CHP vs CHOP in the 5-year follow-up data from ECHELON-2 estimated an increase in the number of 1L PTCL patients who remain progression free and alive for greater than 10 years. This improvement in outcomes may translate into an increased prevalence of PTCL patients, reflecting an increased number of patients in remission and options to undergo transplant therapy when necessary.